Cosmetology at Phagans School of Hair Design

Happy Valley, OR · Private for-profit · Certificate · Cosmetology and Related Personal Grooming Services

a smaller institution with 203 students in Happy Valley, OR.

Program Analysis

Graduates earn $16,034/yr, roughly in line with the $17,289 national median for Cosmetology. The value proposition here depends on cost, not earnings.

AI risk is moderate — 24% task exposure — and the 40% scenario spread suggests disruption would dent but not destroy the earnings outlook for Cosmetology graduates.

The $8,382 debt-to-$16,034 income ratio translates to about 6 months of earnings. Standard loan terms should handle this comfortably.

At #639 out of 1,095 programs, Phagans School of Hair Design's financial outcomes for Cosmetology trail the majority of peers. The value case depends on other factors.

Earnings growth from $16,034 to $25,011 over five years (56% increase) indicates that graduates in this trade see meaningful salary progression.

With 5 registered apprenticeships mapped to Cosmetology, graduates have substantial options for hands-on training paths that pay from day one.

42 /100
TradeSchoolOutlook Score
38
Low End
42
Score
43
High End
Earnings $16,034/yr (-7% vs median)
AI-Proof Resilient (76% shielded)
Job Market Very Large (145,700 openings/yr)

Earnings Overview

Projected 10-Year Earnings
$278K
11.8% annual growth
Viable Career Paths
8 of 8
Occupations with strong AI resilience

Projected 10-Year Earnings

Based on actual graduate salary data and Bureau of Labor Statistics growth projections.

Median Debt at Graduation
$8,382
6.3 months of Year 1 earnings
Reported Earnings (5 Year)
$25,011
56% growth from Year 1

Top Career Paths

Top career paths for Cosmetology graduates by median salary.

Career Path Median Salary Growth AI-ProofAI
Personal service managers, all other $61,340 +6.5% 48%
Makeup artists, theatrical and performance $50,280 +8.1% 66%
First-line supervisors of personal service workers $47,080 +6.7% 59%
Personal service managers, all other
$61,340
+6.5% growth 48% AI-proof
Makeup artists, theatrical and performance
$50,280
+8.1% growth 66% AI-proof
First-line supervisors of personal service workers
$47,080
+6.7% growth 59% AI-proof

View all 8 career paths with full salary data →

Cosmetology Career Guide

From day-one roles to senior positions, Cosmetology careers span a range of specializations. Read the complete outlook for graduates entering personal services.

Read the full Cosmetology career guide →

Compare & Explore

Cosmetology Overview

Cosmetology at Other Schools

Frequently Asked Questions

What does a 42/100 TradeSchoolOutlook Score mean for Cosmetology at Phagans School of Hair Design?
At 42/100, the financial outlook is modest. Higher-scoring Cosmetology programs exist, though non-financial factors may justify this choice.
Can I learn Cosmetology through an apprenticeship instead of Phagans School of Hair Design?
Beyond Phagans School of Hair Design's classroom route, 5 registered apprenticeships map to Cosmetology careers — including Barber. Apprenticeships trade shorter program length for longer on-the-job training, typically 2-4 years.
How sensitive is Cosmetology to AI disruption?
AI sensitivity is moderate-to-notable: a 40% difference between optimistic and pessimistic outcomes. The base case — our most likely scenario — falls between these extremes.
How many job openings are there for Cosmetology graduates?
The very large job market (145,700 annual openings) works in favor of Cosmetology graduates. The national outlook is driven by consistent replacement demand and industry growth, though regional variation matters.
Data from College Scorecard, BLS, and AI resilience research. Methodology & sources →