Cosmetology at Paul Mitchell the School-Temecula

Temecula, CA · Private for-profit · Certificate · Cosmetology and Related Personal Grooming Services

a smaller institution with 275 students in Temecula, CA.

Program Analysis

At $14,507 per year, Cosmetology graduates from Paul Mitchell the School-Temecula earn below the $17,289 national average. Lower costs or geographic factors may offset the earnings gap.

AI risk is moderate — 24% task exposure — and the 40% scenario spread suggests disruption would dent but not destroy the earnings outlook for Cosmetology graduates.

The $12,856 debt-to-$14,507 income ratio translates to about 11 months of earnings. Standard loan terms should handle this comfortably.

At #767 out of 1,095 programs, Paul Mitchell the School-Temecula's financial outcomes for Cosmetology trail the majority of peers. The value case depends on other factors.

Earnings growth from $14,507 to $23,367 over five years (61% increase) indicates that graduates in this trade see meaningful salary progression.

With 5 registered apprenticeships mapped to Cosmetology, graduates have substantial options for hands-on training paths that pay from day one.

42 /100
TradeSchoolOutlook Score
38
Low End
42
Score
42
High End
Earnings $14,507/yr (-16% vs median)
AI-Proof Resilient (76% shielded)
Job Market Very Large (145,700 openings/yr)

Earnings Overview

Projected 10-Year Earnings
$255K
12.0% annual growth
Viable Career Paths
8 of 8
Occupations with strong AI resilience

Projected 10-Year Earnings

Based on actual graduate salary data and Bureau of Labor Statistics growth projections.

Median Debt at Graduation
$12,856
10.6 months of Year 1 earnings
Reported Earnings (5 Year)
$23,367
61% growth from Year 1

Top Career Paths

Top career paths for Cosmetology graduates by median salary.

Career Path Median Salary Growth AI-ProofAI
Personal service managers, all other $61,340 +6.5% 48%
Makeup artists, theatrical and performance $50,280 +8.1% 66%
First-line supervisors of personal service workers $47,080 +6.7% 59%
Personal service managers, all other
$61,340
+6.5% growth 48% AI-proof
Makeup artists, theatrical and performance
$50,280
+8.1% growth 66% AI-proof
First-line supervisors of personal service workers
$47,080
+6.7% growth 59% AI-proof

View all 8 career paths with full salary data →

Cosmetology Career Guide

From day-one roles to senior positions, Cosmetology careers span a range of specializations. Read the complete outlook for graduates entering personal services.

Read the full Cosmetology career guide →

Compare & Explore

Cosmetology Overview

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Frequently Asked Questions

What does a 42/100 TradeSchoolOutlook Score mean for Cosmetology at Paul Mitchell the School-Temecula?
A score of 42/100 indicates below-average financial outcomes for Cosmetology. Earnings, ROI, or job market factors are pulling the score down.
Why are Cosmetology earnings lower at Paul Mitchell the School-Temecula?
Starting salary is one data point. If Paul Mitchell the School-Temecula's tuition is significantly below average, the ROI calculation can still work — lower earnings paired with lower costs can be a reasonable trade.
Should I consider an apprenticeship over a Cosmetology program at Paul Mitchell the School-Temecula?
If Paul Mitchell the School-Temecula's tuition gives you pause, consider that 5 DOL-registered apprenticeship pathways exist for Cosmetology. You'd earn while training, avoiding student debt entirely — though completion takes longer than a certificate program.
How could AI change the job market for Cosmetology graduates?
The 40% scenario spread reflects genuine uncertainty. Some career paths within Cosmetology are more exposed than others — the aggregate score blends resistant and vulnerable roles.
What's the job market like for Cosmetology from Paul Mitchell the School-Temecula?
The very large job market (145,700 annual openings) works in favor of Cosmetology graduates. The national outlook is driven by consistent replacement demand and industry growth, though regional variation matters.
Data from College Scorecard, BLS, and AI resilience research. Methodology & sources →