Cosmetology at Paul Mitchell the School-Modesto

Modesto, CA · Private for-profit · Certificate · Cosmetology and Related Personal Grooming Services

a compact campus enrolling 305 students in Modesto, CA.

Program Analysis

At $20,060 per year, Cosmetology graduates from Paul Mitchell the School-Modesto earn slightly above the $17,289 national median. The premium is real but not dramatic.

AI risk is moderate — 24% task exposure — and the 0% scenario spread suggests disruption would dent but not destroy the earnings outlook for Cosmetology graduates.

The median debt load of $6,333 represents less than half a year of starting salary — among the lightest debt-to-income ratios in vocational education.

Ranked #286 out of 1,095 programs, Paul Mitchell the School-Modesto's Cosmetology offering sits in the upper half but doesn't break into the top tier.

With 5 registered apprenticeships mapped to Cosmetology, graduates have substantial options for hands-on training paths that pay from day one.

44 /100
TradeSchoolOutlook Score
40
Low End
44
Score
44
High End
Earnings $20,060/yr (16% vs median)
AI-Proof Resilient (76% shielded)
Job Market Very Large (145,700 openings/yr)

Earnings Overview

Year 1 Earnings
$20K
Reported median after graduation
Viable Career Paths
8 of 8
Occupations with strong AI resilience
Median Debt at Graduation
$6,333
3.8 months of Year 1 earnings
Reported Earnings (5 Year)
$17,809
Small cohort — data may not reflect typical outcomes

Top Career Paths

Top career paths for Cosmetology graduates by median salary.

Career Path Median Salary Growth AI-ProofAI
Personal service managers, all other $61,340 +6.5% 48%
Makeup artists, theatrical and performance $50,280 +8.1% 66%
First-line supervisors of personal service workers $47,080 +6.7% 59%
Personal service managers, all other
$61,340
+6.5% growth 48% AI-proof
Makeup artists, theatrical and performance
$50,280
+8.1% growth 66% AI-proof
First-line supervisors of personal service workers
$47,080
+6.7% growth 59% AI-proof

View all 8 career paths with full salary data →

Cosmetology Career Guide

From day-one roles to senior positions, Cosmetology careers span a range of specializations. Read the complete outlook for graduates entering personal services.

Read the full Cosmetology career guide →

Compare & Explore

Cosmetology Overview

Cosmetology at Other Schools

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the TradeSchoolOutlook Score for Cosmetology at Paul Mitchell the School-Modesto?
A score of 44/100 indicates below-average financial outcomes for Cosmetology. Earnings, ROI, or job market factors are pulling the score down.
Are there apprenticeship options for Cosmetology?
Beyond Paul Mitchell the School-Modesto's classroom route, 5 registered apprenticeships map to Cosmetology careers — including Barber. Apprenticeships trade shorter program length for longer on-the-job training, typically 2-4 years.
How many job openings are there for Cosmetology graduates?
The very large job market (145,700 annual openings) works in favor of Cosmetology graduates. The national outlook is driven by consistent replacement demand and industry growth, though regional variation matters.
Data from College Scorecard, BLS, and AI resilience research. Methodology & sources →