Cosmetology at Paul Mitchell the School-East Bay

Pleasant Hill, CA · Private for-profit · Certificate · Cosmetology and Related Personal Grooming Services

a compact campus enrolling 212 students in Pleasant Hill, CA.

Program Analysis

At $17,858/yr, Cosmetology graduates from Paul Mitchell the School-East Bay land near the $17,289 national average — neither a standout nor a red flag.

AI risk is moderate — 24% task exposure — and the 38% scenario spread suggests disruption would dent but not destroy the earnings outlook for Cosmetology graduates.

The $12,850 debt-to-$17,858 income ratio translates to about 9 months of earnings. Standard loan terms should handle this comfortably.

Ranked #489 out of 1,095 programs, Paul Mitchell the School-East Bay's Cosmetology offering sits in the upper half but doesn't break into the top tier.

Earnings growth from $17,858 to $27,442 over five years (54% increase) indicates that graduates in this trade see meaningful salary progression.

With 5 registered apprenticeships mapped to Cosmetology, graduates have substantial options for hands-on training paths that pay from day one.

43 /100
TradeSchoolOutlook Score
39
Low End
43
Score
43
High End
Earnings $17,858/yr (3% vs median)
AI-Proof Resilient (76% shielded)
Job Market Very Large (145,700 openings/yr)

Earnings Overview

Projected 10-Year Earnings
$304K
11.3% annual growth
Viable Career Paths
8 of 8
Occupations with strong AI resilience

Projected 10-Year Earnings

Based on actual graduate salary data and Bureau of Labor Statistics growth projections.

Median Debt at Graduation
$12,850
8.6 months of Year 1 earnings
Reported Earnings (5 Year)
$27,442
54% growth from Year 1

Top Career Paths

Top career paths for Cosmetology graduates by median salary.

Career Path Median Salary Growth AI-ProofAI
Personal service managers, all other $61,340 +6.5% 48%
Makeup artists, theatrical and performance $50,280 +8.1% 66%
First-line supervisors of personal service workers $47,080 +6.7% 59%
Personal service managers, all other
$61,340
+6.5% growth 48% AI-proof
Makeup artists, theatrical and performance
$50,280
+8.1% growth 66% AI-proof
First-line supervisors of personal service workers
$47,080
+6.7% growth 59% AI-proof

View all 8 career paths with full salary data →

Cosmetology Career Guide

Explore what Cosmetology graduates do, from entry-level roles to long-term career paths across 1095 programs nationwide.

Read the full Cosmetology career guide →

Compare & Explore

Cosmetology Overview

Cosmetology at Other Schools

Frequently Asked Questions

What does a 43/100 TradeSchoolOutlook Score mean for Cosmetology at Paul Mitchell the School-East Bay?
At 43/100, the financial outlook is modest. Higher-scoring Cosmetology programs exist, though non-financial factors may justify this choice.
Can I learn Cosmetology through an apprenticeship instead of Paul Mitchell the School-East Bay?
Yes — 5 registered apprenticeship programs are mapped to Cosmetology career paths, including Barber. Apprenticeships offer paid on-the-job training as an alternative or complement to a program at Paul Mitchell the School-East Bay.
What's the AI uncertainty for Cosmetology careers?
AI sensitivity is moderate-to-notable: a 38% difference between optimistic and pessimistic outcomes. The base case — our most likely scenario — falls between these extremes.
How many job openings are there for Cosmetology graduates?
At 145,700 annual openings, Cosmetology has a very large employment base. Paul Mitchell the School-East Bay graduates benefit from broad demand, particularly given consistent replacement demand and industry growth.
Data from College Scorecard, BLS, and AI resilience research. Methodology & sources →